Holy Cross
W-L: ( 7-12) PR = 91.0524Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 220 H San José State MW (12-11, 94.4) 4- 6 221 A Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 5- 6 221 A Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 10-14 222 A Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 20-17 227 A Seattle U WC (16-31, 90.7) 11- 1 228 A Seattle U WC (16-31, 90.7) 10-11 301 A Seattle U WC (16-31, 90.7) 7- 2 305 H Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 3- 4 306 H Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 4- 7 307 A Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 3-13 308 A Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 3-11 509 A Army PAT ( 4- 5, 90.5) 5- 3 510 A Army PAT ( 4- 5, 90.5) 6- 2 518 A Bucknell PAT ( 4- 6, 90.3) 11- 2 519 A Bucknell PAT ( 4- 6, 90.3) 5- 9 520 A Bucknell PAT ( 4- 6, 90.3) 14-11 529 A Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 1-19 530 H UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 1-15 530 H UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 1-15
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
220 H San José State 4- 6 -2 -3 0.65
221 A Florida International 5- 6 -1 -2 1.40
221 A Florida International 10-14 -4 -2 -1.60
222 A Florida International 20-17 3 -2 ++ 5.40
227 A Seattle U 11- 1 10 0 +++ 10.36
228 A Seattle U 10-11 -1 0 -0.64
301 A Seattle U 7- 2 5 0 ++ 5.36
305 H Pepperdine 3- 4 -1 0 -1.26
306 H Alabama 4- 7 -3 -5 + 2.35
307 A Portland 3-13 -10 -3 --- -7.11
308 A Portland 3-11 -8 -3 -- -5.11
509 A Army 5- 3 2 0 + 2.11
510 A Army 6- 2 4 0 ++ 4.11
518 A Bucknell 11- 2 9 0 +++ 8.94
519 A Bucknell 5- 9 -4 0 -- -4.06
520 A Bucknell 14-11 3 0 + 2.94
529 A Texas 1-19 -18 -9 -- -4.91
530 H UC Santa Barbara 1-15 -14 -5 --- -9.47
530 H UC Santa Barbara 1-15 -14 -5 --- -9.47
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A Portland 3-13 -10 -3 --- -7.11 530 H UC Santa Barbara 1-15 -14 -5 --- -9.47 530 H UC Santa Barbara 1-15 -14 -5 --- -9.47 308 A Portland 3-11 -8 -3 -- -5.11 519 A Bucknell 5- 9 -4 0 -- -4.06 529 A Texas 1-19 -18 -9 -- -4.91 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 A Seattle U 11- 1 10 0 +++ 10.36 518 A Bucknell 11- 2 9 0 +++ 8.94 222 A Florida International 20-17 3 -2 ++ 5.40 301 A Seattle U 7- 2 5 0 ++ 5.36 510 A Army 6- 2 4 0 ++ 4.11 306 H Alabama 4- 7 -3 -5 + 2.35 509 A Army 5- 3 2 0 + 2.11 520 A Bucknell 14-11 3 0 + 2.94 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H San José Stat (12-11, 94.4) 4- 6 -5.52 12.91 -0.68 1.52 -4.71
3 A Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 5- 6 -7.12 11.31 0.68 1.52 -4.91
3 A Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 10-14 -7.12 11.31 0.68 1.52 -4.91
3 A Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 20-17 -7.12 11.31 0.68 1.52 36.47
3 A Seattle U (16-31, 90.7) 11- 1 -9.17 9.26 0.68 1.52 30.24
3 A Seattle U (16-31, 90.7) 10-11 -9.17 9.26 0.68 1.52 -6.46
3 A Seattle U (16-31, 90.7) 7- 2 -9.17 9.26 0.68 1.52 30.24
3 H Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 3- 4 -8.43 9.99 -0.68 1.52 -6.93
3 H Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 4- 7 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 1.52 -2.66
3 A Portland (24-27, 93.3) 3-13 -6.63 11.79 0.68 1.52 -4.53
3 A Portland (24-27, 93.3) 3-11 -6.63 11.79 0.68 1.52 -4.53
3 A Army ( 4- 5, 90.5) 5- 3 -9.41 9.02 0.68 1.52 29.51
3 A Army ( 4- 5, 90.5) 6- 2 -9.41 9.02 0.68 1.52 29.51
3 A Bucknell ( 4- 6, 90.3) 11- 2 -9.58 8.84 0.68 1.52 28.98
3 A Bucknell ( 4- 6, 90.3) 5- 9 -9.58 8.84 0.68 1.52 -6.78
3 A Bucknell ( 4- 6, 90.3) 14-11 -9.58 8.84 0.68 1.52 28.98
3 A Texas (49-13, 99.5) 1-19 -0.44 17.99 0.68 1.52 -0.18
3 H UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 1-15 -3.64 14.78 -0.68 1.52 -3.29
3 H UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 1-15 -3.64 14.78 -0.68 1.52 -3.29
------
160.76
|
winning pts = 213.9410 losing points = -53.1781
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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